How To Use This Template:
This is a template and checklist corresponding to your Assignment 3 paper: Forecasting. See below for an explanation of the colour-coding in this template:
Tips:
Finalising Your Paper
Your submission should be a maximum of 4 pages in length. The page count does not include the Cover Page at the beginning and the References page at the end. The final paper that you submit for grading should be in black text only with all remaining green text and blue text removed.
JWI 531
An Introduction should be succinct and to the point. Start your Introduction with a general and brief observation about the paper’s topic. Write a thesis statement, which is the “road map” for your paper – it helps your reader to navigate your work. In your thesis statement, be specific about the major areas you plan to address in your paper.
The headings below should guide your introduction, since they identify the topics to be addressed in your paper. The introduction is not a graded part of your rubric but it helps your reader to understand what your assignment will be about. We recommend that you write this part of your Introduction after you complete the other sections of your paper. It only needs to be one paragraph in length.
Analysis and Recommendations
You must answer each of the following questions in your paper. Keep your responses focused on the topic. Straying off into additional areas, even if they are interesting, will not earn additional marks, and may actually detract from the clarity of your responses.
In developing your response, use the three sub-questions (a, b and c) to guide you. In fact, you may want to draft your answers for these questions before you write your opening. Your answer to the all three questions and your opening statement should take one or two paragraphs. Make sure that you explain your rationale for each of three questions. It is not enough to just name the company and move on.
For the second question, our focus is on the quality and usefulness of the data. Pay attention to both parts of the question. Your response must address:
(1) WHY these metrics/trends are particularly important to forecasting and budgeting – there is little value in over-analysing trivial metrics
(2) How consistent the trends have been – generally speaking, the less variance in the trend, the more reliable a predictor it is
Given that most companies have hundreds of data sets that could be analysed, explain why these particular data sets are the ones to focus on in forecasting. Be sure you include references to the analysts’ reports, the 10-Ks, and your course materials. Your answer should take two paragraphs.
iii. Based on the data you have analysed, which metrics would you focus on to improve the performance of the weaker company against the stronger one? Why
As in previous assignments, the questions now shift from analysis to recommendation. Your response will require a brief opening statement to explain what metrics you would focus on and why to improve the performance of the weaker company against the stronger one. Be sure that you stay focused on this.
You do not have to develop a financial strategy for both companies, only the weaker one. Your answer should, therefore, briefly restate which company you believe has the weaker performance, and then respond to each of the three sub-bullets in relation to that company only. As guidance, see the tips for each question below:
Therefore, you should not base your decision on which company is currently performing better, but on which company’s performance – and valuation – has the greatest potential for growth.
Your answer to this question should take a short paragraph of 3 to 4 sentences. Stay focused on the core question – which is improvement. It is fine to pick either company. There is no right or wrong answer here, but you must be clear about which company you would choose and explain why this is the one you could have the greatest impact on.
References
Use the information below to format your in-text citations correctly. Note how the source number connects each citation with the References list on the last page of your paper.
For more citation examples and a sample References page, see the Sample Professional Paper and the JWMI Writing Standards Guide. You can find both these documents in the Course Documents menu item in your Blackboard course.
In-Text Citations
Within the body of your paper, when concepts from specific sources are used, a citation with the author’s last name and the number of the citation in your References list is required: e.g., (Welch, 1). This is called an in-text citation. See below for two examples:
“Leadership is about helping other people grow and succeed” (Welch, 1).
In this example, notice the placement of quotation marks, cited text, and the period after the citation. The number 1 corresponds to the first entry on your References page.
When the reader looks at the References page, they should see the Welch book Winning listed as source number one (1). It is number 1 because it is the first source used in the paper, and throughout the paper this source will continue to be referred to as (1).
If the next source you use in your paper is Bragg, then your citation is (Bragg, 2). If you then refer to Jack’s ideas again later in the paper, he remains (Welch, 1) because it is the first source used in the paper, and throughout the paper this source will continue to be referred to as (1).
Linking Citations with your References Page
At the end of your paper, include a page with a list of all your references. It must include an entry for every source that you have cited or quoted in your paper.
The format of the references list varies by source type. There are examples of different source types in the sample References page at the end of this document. You may also refer to the Sample Professional Paper and/or the JWMI Writing Standards Guide. You can find both these documents in the Course Documents menu item in your Blackboard course.
Quotations
Originality is an important aspect of graduate writing. To ensure original thinking and avoid plagiarism, you should keep direct quotation to a minimum. Generally, keep your quotes to 25 words or less, and no more than 1-2 sentences. See below for an example of a direct quotation:
“Leadership is about helping other people grow and succeed” (Welch, 1).
In this example, notice the placement of quotation marks, cited text, and the period after the citation. The number 1 corresponds to the first entry on our References page.
Paraphrasing
When you paraphrase, you put the information from another writer in your own words. This is much preferable to quoting, as it shows your understanding of the material. In this case, you should use in-text citation, but quotation marks are not required. See below for an example of paraphrasing:
In his Rule 3, Welch says that strong leaders display an impression of vitality and confidence (1).
Since the author’s name was used in the sentence, we do not need to include it again in the parentheses, so we just provide the Reference number, which is (1).